ADSU International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Management

An Empirical Analysis Of The Impact Of Insurgency On Agricultural Output In Madagali Local Government Area Of Adamawa State

Abstract

This study examined the impact of insurgency on agricultural output in Madagali LGA, Adamawa State, through a survey of 400 farmers. The study employed descriptive and inferential methods of data analysis using tables and spatial regression methods. The respondents were predominantly male, middle-aged, with basic education, and reliant on smallholder farming. The community’s varying levels of income, education, and experience suggest a high vulnerability to the insurgency’s effects, with limited capacity to withstand prolonged disruptions. The insurgency has caused widespread disruptions in land cultivation, leading to reduced agricultural output and significant barriers to recovery. Crop production, especially for staple crops like maize and sorghum, faced moderate to severe losses, with most farmers losing between 10-30 bags. Livestock farming has also been severely impacted, with extensive herdsmen relocation and livestock losses, threatening food security and economic stability. The spatial regression analysis underscores the negative effects of insurgency intensity, resource access, and land displacement on crop yields, particularly for staple crops. To mitigate the insurgency’s impact on agriculture in Madagali LGA, this study recommended that targeted interventions are needed to restore access to farming resources, enhance community resilience through education and training, and secure farmland and livestock. Continuous monitoring and investment in infrastructure are crucial for long-term recovery and informed policy decisions.